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<text id=90TT2508>
<link 93TG0130>
<title>
Sep. 24, 1990: Call To Arms
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1990
Sep. 24, 1990 Under The Gun
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
THE GULF, Page 32
COVER STORIES
Call to Arms
</hdr>
<body>
<p>Bush issues his sternest warning yet to Saddam, and despite
Tehran's call for a holy war against the U.S., the coalition
against Iraq grows stronger
</p>
<p>By Bruce W. Nelan--Reported by William Dowell/Cairo, Michael
Duffy/Washington and J.F.O. McAllister with Baker
</p>
<p> Sometimes a politician's rhetoric seems so transparent, so
empty of genuine feeling, that a listener's attention wanders
and the speaker ends up trivializing the cause he espouses. In
his day George Bush has certainly driven his fair share of
citizens to distraction. No one, not even the President's most
loyal supporters, would confuse a Bush speech and its delivery
with a performance by Churchill.
</p>
<p> Last week, however, George Bush gave a speech--no, make
that an oration--that riveted listeners and left absolutely
no doubt he meant every word he uttered. Speaking softly and
with a menacing lack of emotion, Bush stood before a joint
session of Congress and spoke directly to Saddam Hussein. "Iraq
will not be permitted to annex Kuwait," he vowed, to thunderous
applause. "That's not a threat, not a boast. That's just the
way it's going to be." Yes, he felt great sympathy for the
hostages held by the Iraqi leader. "But our policy cannot
change," he said, his finger stabbing at the air. "And it will
not change."
</p>
<p> It was Bush's toughest warning yet that if necessary the
U.S. will use force to free Kuwait. Three days later at the
White House, Bush delivered another admonition to Saddam. Iraqi
troops in Kuwait had just raided the embassy compounds of
France, Canada, Belgium and the Netherlands, briefly detaining
five Western consuls, including an American, and spiriting away
three French citizens to an unknown location. After calling the
incident an "outrageous Iraqi break-in," Bush resisted
reporters' efforts to make him issue sweeping threats. "You're
trying to get me to sound like I'm rattling sabers," he said.
</p>
<p> On Saturday an incensed French President Francois Mitterrand
called upon the United Nations Security Council to extend the
embargo against Saddam to all air traffic flying in and out of
Iraq. In addition to announcing the expulsion of military
attaches assigned to the Iraqi embassy in Paris, Mitterrand
declared he would send an extra 4,000 troops to the gulf,
upping the total number of French servicemen in the region to
7,800. He was not alone in answering Bush's call for additional
support: Britain dispatched 6,000 more soldiers, Canada will
send a squadron of 12 CF-18 jets, and Italy pledged eight
Tornado fighters and a frigate.
</p>
<p> Bush faces his adversary from a position of tremendous
strength. Seven weeks after the Iraqi aggression began, his
armed opposition to it is backed by six votes of the Security
Council. A nationwide poll conducted for TIME/CNN last week by
Yankelovich Clancy Shulman showed Bush with an overall approval
rating of 71% and support for his handling of the gulf crisis
even higher at 75%. His summit in Helsinki with Soviet
President Mikhail Gorbachev bolstered his claim that the
confrontation in the Persian Gulf is not the U.S. vs. Iraq but
"Iraq against the world."
</p>
<p> Saddam has tried to pose as a victim of Western imperialism
and has called for jihad (holy war) against the 26-nation
military force in the gulf. Last week Saddam's call was echoed
by Iran's spiritual leader, Ayatullah Ali Khamenei. He accused
the U.S. of supporting Iraq in its eight-year war with Iran and
making Saddam "arrogant enough to invade Kuwait." But, he said,
it was the duty of the other states of the region to settle the
conflict. "Any one who fights America's aggression," Khamenei
went on, "has engaged in a holy war in the cause of Allah, and
anyone who is killed on that path is a martyr."
</p>
<p> But the image of American firmness on terrorism was somewhat
shaken by Secretary of State James Baker's visit last week to
Syria, a country the U.S. officially lists as a sponsor of
terrorist organizations. Baker emphasized that the U.S. has
"differences" with Syria and its steel-fisted dictator, Hafez
Assad. But he wanted to encourage Damascus to send more troops
to the international effort in the gulf. His four-hour meeting
with Assad was also intended to underscore for Arab
nationalists that not all radicals side with Iraq. Assad agreed
to dispatch 300 tanks and an estimated 15,000 soldiers to join
the 3,000 men he has already sent to the gulf.
</p>
<p> Meanwhile, Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz led a
delegation to Tehran and negotiated the reopening of full
diplomatic relations after a break of 10 years. A day later,
the Tehran Times reported that Iran might begin delivering food
and medicine to Baghdad. Reports soon leaked that Iraq had
arranged to ship 200,000 bbl. of oil a day to Iran, freeing
Iranian oil for sale on the high-price spot market.
</p>
<p> Food shipments to Iraq have been an issue since the first
Security Council resolution recognized they would be allowed
in "humanitarian circumstances." Last week the Council accepted
a distribution plan put forward by the U.S. and the other four
permanent members: the Soviet Union, China, Britain and France.
It voted 13-2, with Cuba and Yemen opposed, to allow such
shipments on a case-by-case basis and only under the
supervision of the U.N. or other international agencies.
</p>
<p> Bush insisted he would not use Iraq's violation of
diplomatic norms in Kuwait last week as a pretext to launch a
military attack. That is not a real option yet; the U.S.
commander in the gulf, General H. Norman Schwarzkopf, says
shipments are behind schedule, and it will be a month before
all the heavy armor en route is actually delivered. While its
power builds, Washington intends to pursue the diplomatic and
economic tracks until they have either visibly begun to strangle
Saddam or been proved a failure. Meanwhile, Washington is
debating some unsettled questions:
</p>
<p>-- How much should Japan and Germany contribute? America's
two richest allies have been slow to ante up. Both claim their
postwar constitutions make it impossible for them to send
military units outside their own regions. Even if that is true,
their prolonged fumbling in reaching for wallets has produced
anger on Capitol Hill. Republican Senator John McCain of
Arizona accused Bonn of "contemptible tokenism," while
Democratic Representative Carroll Hubbard of Kentucky said Tokyo
was behaving predictably: "If there's no profit in it for
them, forget it."
</p>
<p> The House actually passed a bill threatening to pull
America's 50,000 troops out of Japan unless the full cost of
their basing there was paid by Japan. It is not likely to
become law, but Tokyo's response was swift. It announced last
week that it was quadrupling its contribution to the gulf
effort to $4 billion.
</p>
<p> If he could, West German Chancellor Helmut Kohl would
probably send troops to the gulf. But citing the constitutional
problems, his coalition partners, the Free Democrats, are
against it, as are the opposition Social Democrats. Even Kohl's
own party is split; most Germans believe overseas military
involvement is a bad idea.
</p>
<p> Kohl said last week it was "unacceptable" that Germany is
on hand wherever export profits are to be made, "but we cannot
be present when it comes to bearing responsibility." West
Germany's lack of involvement in the gulf was all the more
embarrassing because Iraq owes its chemical-weapons arsenal
primarily to West German firms, which have illegally supplied
Baghdad with the means to produce poison gas. After all-German
elections in December, Kohl said, he would push for
constitutional changes that would permit military participation
in U.N. peacekeeping operations.
</p>
<p> Administration officials are more forgiving of Bonn's
slowness to pay than Tokyo's, since Kohl's government faces a
unification bill that will run to tens of billions of dollars
in the coming year alone. After meeting with Baker on Saturday,
Kohl announced Bonn would contribute $2.1 billion to defray the
costs of the U.S.-led military operation and support the
countries hardest hit by the embargo: Egypt, Jordan and Turkey.
</p>
<p>-- Should the forces in the gulf be put under U.N. command?
The initial quick reaction and buildup by the U.S. could not
have been engineered by U.N. consensus. But now that 26
countries have lent their military support, calls are being
heard for a transition to a more traditional U.N. peacekeeping
force, partly because it suggests more unanimity and legitimacy
than an American-led alliance. Gorbachev has said that if
Soviet forces take part at all, it would have to be under a
U.N. flag. If Germany changes its constitution as Kohl suggests,
its troops would almost certainly participate, but only if the
U.N. or another multilateral organization were in charge.
</p>
<p> In fact, a switch to U.N. command would not involve a lot
of time and negotiation. The charter provides for the creation
of an army made up of member states' troops and for a military
staff to direct it. It has not been done during this crisis
because the U.S. does not want anyone else making decisions on
the use of its ground and air units in the gulf--especially
if Bush eventually decides to attack Iraq.
</p>
<p> But if Washington concludes that it is vital to bring Soviet
forces into the area, either to force an Iraqi withdrawal from
Kuwait or to create a new security arrangement for the gulf,
it will have to reconsider.
</p>
<p>-- Should there be an international conference on the Middle
East? Gorbachev's "secret" at the Helsinki summit was that Bush
had invited Moscow to re-enter Middle East politics, something
the U.S. had tried to prevent for decades to keep the Soviets
from making mischief in an already volatile region. Now Moscow
is welcome to join in negotiating the future of the entire
Middle East, a development that could in time turn out to be
the most momentous consequence of the present crisis. Baker and
Soviet Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze talked at length
about the shape of future security agreements in the region.
</p>
<p> While both sides claimed there was no link between forcing
Iraq out of Kuwait and settling the Israeli-Arab conflict, they
did not entirely agree on the immediate prospects for resolving
the dispute. "We have never, nor do we now, rule out the
possibility of an international conference to resolve this
issue at an appropriate time," said Baker. But Shevardnadze
pushed it harder, saying the superpowers had agreed in Moscow
last week to consult "at a certain stage" to "promote a global
settlement of the Middle East problem."
</p>
<p> If it appears that Saddam will be forced out of Kuwait, his
withdrawal--and his continuation in office--will have to
be coupled with arrangements to guarantee the security of the
region. New military agreements, arms-control measures and
international supervision will have to be put in place. But if
it is to be war, that decision alone will sweep the others off
the agenda.
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>